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Impact of climate change on drought in the Daklak province

Khoi Nguyen Dao 1, *
Quang Nguyen Xuan Chau 2
  1. University of Science, VNU-HCM
  2. Center of Water Management and Climate Change, VNU-HCM
Correspondence to: Khoi Nguyen Dao, University of Science, VNU-HCM. Email: pvphuc@vnuhcm.edu.vn.
Volume & Issue: Vol. 17 No. 3 (2014) | Page No.: 5-11 | DOI: 10.32508/stdj.v17i3.1365
Published: 2014-09-30

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Copyright The Author(s) 2023. This article is published with open access by Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY 4.0) which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited. 

Abstract

The main objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of climate change on the meteorological drought in the Daklak province. In this study, the meteorological drought was calculated using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).From this result, two scensrios fot the precipitation VA1B and B1 were downscaled, from the outputs of 4 GCMs (General Circulation Model): CGCM3.1 (T63), CM2.0, CM2.1, and HadCM3 using the simple downscaling method (delta change method). The impacts of climate change on the droughts were assessed by comparing the present (1980- 2009) and the future droughts (2010-2039, 2040-2069, and 2070-2099).Results of the study suggested that the future temperature would increase by 0.9-2.8ºC and the future precipitation would decrease by 0.4-4.7% for both A1B and B1 scenarios. Under the future climate scenarios, the frequency and severity of extreme drought would increase. The results obtained in this study could be useful for planning and managing water resources at this region.

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