THE TRENDS OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES IN CHOOSING THE MAJORS OF THE UNIVERSITIES IN HO CHI MINH CITY

Abstract

The study analyzes the trends and forecasts the number of high-school graduates enrolling in university entrance examination. The study samples are seven majors of 11 universities in Ho Chi Minh City. The analysis and test processes are based on the descriptive statistics by graphs, Mann-Kendall trend test, the estimate model and trend function test by the method of Ordinary Least Squares Estimation (OLS). The result indicates high-school graduates have tendency to enroll in two ologies with descending trend such as Agriculture–Forestry–Fish-Breeding and Teaching–Education Management. There is no conclusion that the remaining majors have ascending trends of registration.